A love note to Jon Stewart. It's interesting that it takes a comedian to have the guts to ask the tough questions to the financial media…, like, where you and why didn't you see danger coming? I have a few suggestions of some more guys who need to have their feet put to the fire…so be prepared mortgage brokers, banks, real estate agents, mall developers. I'm sure I'll figure out a few more in the future.
Here I am today in beautiful Baja California, Mexico, you know, the place where the US Government tells you not to go. It's true, we're in the middle of a drug war, but for the average resident it's less dangerous than the USA with it's home invasions, bank robberies and rapes. Here, the druggies are fighting it out with an occasional attack on the police, but in the states, it seems that everyone is a target these days. I especially didn't like the idea of a bunch of kids kidnapping an old lady they tortured and kept in the trunk of her car. That's senseless violence just "for fun." At least here in Mexico they have a profit and turf motive – control of the drug routes to sell Americans the illegal substances they so crave.
But, as usual, I digress. I want to tell Jon Stewart I love him. I need to do it and he needs to hear it. If I wasn't such an old broad, I would seriously have his babies I love him so much, but I think perhaps I might better just be his second Mom – he's about the age of my kids.
The fact that he took on the financial media was just stunning and done in his usual brilliant manner. I encourage anyone who has not seen his discussion with Cramer of CNBC "Mad Money" go to the "Daily Show" web site and see it. Everyone else has been pussyfooting around these guys and Jon hoisted him on his own petard.
Now, I would like to see him take on the banking cum mortgage industry. That debacle is the dumbest yet and everyone shakes their heads as if it happened while they weren't looking. Give me a break!
How can anyone claim they didn't see it coming when you analyze all the markers staring us all in the face?
Let's look at them one by one.
- Can you believe your home is growing in value by as much as 35% a year in some areas, when there is no inflation? Now honestly, how can that make sense? Where is the demand coming from? There is no huge population growth or exodus to many of these areas, with the possible exception of Las Vegas which was experiencing a population explosion.
- How can you borrow against your equity when it's an imaginary figure? There is no equity to be actualized until a property sells. Then you recognize equity, until then, it's the same as sitting at the craps table with a big pile of chips in front of you. As long as you sit and play you haven't won anything. Once you cash in your chips and walk away from the table you're a winner – that is, as long as you don't continue gambling.
- Actually, that's exactly what many people did. They took the equity from one house and put it down on a bigger, fancier and more expensive house, or, in other words, they parlayed their bet…just used another word for it by calling it "flipping."
- When they took out their "equity" most people didn't use it to improve their home's value. No, they went on a spending spree and bought toys – new cars, boats, RV's, clothes, electronics. All those things that plummet in value as soon as they leave the store or dealership. What went on in people's heads to take a generally appreciating asset and trade it in for a depreciating one?
- Anyone with their name on a tax roll was bombarded by calls day and night from bull pens selling mortgages. Didn't that raise a danger flag? At the same time, the airwaves and television were filled with commercials for mortgages. How can anyone forget Ditech or Lending Tree commercials? At the end, they made everyone feel like they were missing out on "almost free" money. After all, if you have 30 years to pay it back, we all know for sure that the balance will be a pittance as the value of homes escalates to the moon…except when it doesn't.
- Banks were complicit in the scam with no requirement to prove income, allowing stated income to be the norm. Hell, you can state you make anything – and why not if the fools let you get away with it? If you can't pay, just give it back to them – but don't be mad if you have to.
- Appraisals were made by tame appraisers who made money by being selected by the mortgage company. They would find out what the mortgage amount was going to be and made sure the appraised value was substantially above the loan. It's easy to justify when prices all around are going up and comps can be found at any value.
- And how about real estate brokers who touted you on making offers on grossly overpriced homes just so they could make the payments on their new Hummer or Lexus? They were supposed to represent the buyer in many cases and they only represented their own interests.
- Didn't anyone notice that mortgages were changing hands faster than an infant changes diapers? At one point I had three different mortgage holders in less than a year. It was hard to keep up with where I was to send my payment. If that was happening, then someone was making money in the sales of these things.
- No one regulated anything! It was an orgy of greed!
If the topic of conversation around a normal dinner table was "How can people afford these prices?" someone knew it was phony, I certainly did. And, if I could figure it out, why couldn't the regulators? Easy, they didn't care!
We had a government for eight years who didn't give a rat's patootie about the middle class, they just wanted big business to make money, and they did.
Now that's not to say it's all government's fault. I think we all have to take responsibility for the mess, but no one wants to, they just sit and finger point. I like to finger point too, but after all that's my job.
From this debacle, the US housing market, according to the latest statistics from Bloomberg, lost 3.3 trillion dollars in 2008. The Federal Reserve reported a few days ago that households lost 5.1 trillion dollars, or 9% of their wealth, in the last 3 months of 2008. Is it any wonder everyone is feeling poor? Even the big guys are feeling the pinch. According to Forbes Magazine Bill Gates lost 18 billion and only has 40 billion left and even Warren Buffet lost 25 billion. But I don't think I'll feel too sorry for them, even though I have great respect for their philanthropy.
Now back to Jon Stewart. Jon, why don't you take on the media for the housing mess as well? They allowed commercials touting mortgages with amazing rates and low entry levels, screamed that a family's wealth is mainly in their homes, and went along with the whole scam. I never heard a whimper from anyone that we were in the middle of a housing bubble. No mention was made of the McMansioning of America. No investigation was made of housing developments with starting prices in the low millions and no justification for price other than the developer could get it. No one gave a thought to the constant calls for mortgages, or the over development of so many areas of the country. It was media complacency as well that failed to point out what was happening. Or did they just not get it?
Maybe that's the thing, the media is really stupid and doesn't have a clue that things might be going wrong – ya think?
Well, here's another one that I could never figure out and maybe you can bring on the carpet. How can so many malls survive in suburban areas? I have a home in Orange County, also known as affluent bitch central. I was trying to count the number of malls in a five mile radius from my house and I came up with about 15 or so and gave up, but I know there are more. There are 3 Coldwater Creeks, 3 Costcos, 3 Home Depots and maybe more, I can't think of any Lowes, 2 Kohls, at least 2 Brighton's, god knows how many movies but at a wild guess I'll say at least 25 screens. There are strips filled with nothing but furniture stores, I can think of at least 4 in the same area. There are 4 Macy's, 2 Marshalls, 2 Home Goods, 2 Targets and so on. Doesn't someone have to close? How can all these stores stay in business? J. Jill and Talbots have given up their stores and gone back to their core business of catalogue sales. Circuit City is dead along with Bombay Company, Mervyns and Levitz. How many more are going to die this year?
Now malls need zoning compliance and city council approval so there were plenty of people involved in the process. Didn't any of them scratch their heads and think about how all of them would survive? Or how their cities would look when they didn't? I guess not. Let's take these yahoos onto the carpet too!
And, what will the face of the suburban landscape be? Are we going to have half empty malls looking like the broken down and shuttered Main Streets they replaced? It's already starting to happen. Every mall has empty shops and those numbers grow daily. I keep out of the Malls lately as it's too sad to see the sale signs; they have a frantic desperation about them that gives me the creeps. I see them as future ghost towns, empty and decaying as part of our dead culture. Now, when we think of those civilizations that just disappeared, we can add in Malls. Archeologists of the future will be studying escalators, food courts and manikins as symbols of a failed lifestyle and speculating on how they met their demise. We should paint the word "Greed!" on the walls in gang graffiti when they close as a sign to future generations.
So Jon, please pick on the mortgage guys and the real estate developers, put their feet to the fire and then go after the mall companies that covered our landscape with purchase palaces. You know, those places where we went to spend money we didn't have to compete with those we thought had money we now find out they didn't have either.
Alice Donenfeld-Vernoux
Website: www.curmudgeongal.com
Podcasts: http://www.curmudgeongal.libsyn.com
